Tuesday, March 9, 2010

Everything is Dangerous (Even the Weather)

By Roger F. Gay

Al Gore, et al. claimed an obvious correlation between CO2 and atmospheric temperature increases. Although the cause and effect claim he made was easily exposed as incorrect, as well as other statistical claims by warmers (often because they faked the data), it is still interesting to look a little deeper into the use of statistics by researchers who are less than expert in statistical analysis - which surely includes "climate scientists."

Those of you who are not scientists (which includes the vast majority of warmers) probably do not understand how often empirical researchers who make dramatic claims are simply doing poor analysis and reaching false conclusions. Every research university and major research institution has statisticians who are available for consultation. But researchers often publish and announce research without consulting the experts; leading to a great deal of "scientific" misinformation.

It will probably be useful to start with the short article; "The Ease of Cheating With Statistics." The audio recording "Everything is dangerous" - is a longer talk and somewhat technical. A couple of key points early in the talk (even if it ends up being too deep for you) - that so many claims based on empirical studies are false - and that one of the great faults in the scientific process is that the researchers refuse to share their data (like the "climate scientists" who claim evidence of catastrophic man-made global warming).

The Ease of Cheating With Statistics

Everything Is Dangerous: A Controversy

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